Stephen F. Austin
W-L: ( 6- 5) PR = 92.8802Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 2- 3 215 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 3- 7 215 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 6- 2 221 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 4- 0 224 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 14- 6 227 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 2- 0 303 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 0- 4 310 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 8- 4 407 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 6- 7 430 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 4- 4 502 A Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 4- 2 502 A Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 1-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 A UL Monroe 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.50
215 A Tarleton State 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.67
215 A Tarleton State 6- 2 4 1 + 3.33
221 A UTSA 4- 0 4 2 + 2.21
224 H UT Arlington 14- 6 8 2 ++ 5.53
227 A Louisiana Tech 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.65
303 A Baylor 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.91
310 A Sam Houston 8- 4 4 0 + 3.50
407 H Sam Houston 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.98
430 H Stanford 4- 4 0 -3 + 2.71
502 A Northwestern State 4- 2 2 2 -0.11
502 A Nicholls 1-11 -10 0 --- -9.77
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A Nicholls 1-11 -10 0 --- -9.77 215 A Tarleton State 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.67 407 H Sam Houston 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H UT Arlington 14- 6 8 2 ++ 5.53 215 A Tarleton State 6- 2 4 1 + 3.33 221 A UTSA 4- 0 4 2 + 2.21 227 A Louisiana Tech 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.65 310 A Sam Houston 8- 4 4 0 + 3.50 430 H Stanford 4- 4 0 -3 + 2.71 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 2- 3 -7.26 12.11 0.74 2.10 -6.85
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 3- 7 -8.43 10.94 0.74 2.10 -8.07
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 6- 2 -8.43 10.94 0.74 2.10 49.09
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 4- 0 -9.55 9.82 0.74 2.10 44.38
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 14- 6 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 2.10 41.48
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 2- 0 -7.11 12.26 0.74 2.10 54.61
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 0- 4 -5.67 13.70 0.74 2.10 -5.18
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 8- 4 -8.26 11.11 0.74 2.10 49.79
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 6- 7 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 2.10 -9.45
3 H Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 4- 4 -3.57 15.80 -0.74 2.10 0.00
3 A Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 4- 2 -9.87 9.50 0.74 2.10 43.02
3 A Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 1-11 -7.53 11.84 0.74 2.10 -7.13
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245.69
|
winning pts = 282.3644 losing points = -36.6771
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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